Publications 2020

Journal Articles

Aguirre, J., De La Torre Ugarte, D., Bazo, J., Quequezana, P., & Collado, M. ‘Evaluation of Early Action Mechanisms in Peru Regarding Preparedness for El Niño’ in International Journal of Disaster Risk Science, Vol. 10, pp. 493–510, 23 December 2019.

Alfieri, L., Cohen, S., Galantowicz, J., Schumann, G.P., Trigg, M., Zsoter, E., ( . . . ) & Rudari, R. ‘The Global Flood Partnership’ in American Geophysical Union Monograph: Global drought and flood, 18 December 2020.

Daron, J., Allen, M., Bailey, M., Ciampi, L., Cornforth, R., Costella, C., ( . . . ) & Ticehurst, H. ‘Integrating seasonal climate forecasts into adaptive social protection in the Sahel’ in Climate and Development, 2020.

Gros, C., Easton‐Calabria, E., Bailey, M., Dagys, K., de Perez, E. C., Sharavnyambuu, M., & Kruczkiewicz, A. ‘The effectiveness of forecast‐based humanitarian assistance in anticipation of extreme winters: Evidence from an intervention for vulnerable herders in Mongolia’ in Disasters, 11 October 2020.

Hagen, J. S., Cutler, A., Trambauer, P., Weerts, A., Suarez, P. & Solomatine, D. ‘Development and evaluation of flood forecasting models for forecast-based financing using a novel model suitability matrix’ in Progress in Disaster Science,Vol. 6, April 2020.

Haque, M. M., Seidou, O., Mohammadian, A., & Gado Djibo, A. ‘Development of a time-varying MODIS/ 2D hydrodynamic model relationship between water levels and flooded areas in the Inner Niger Delta, Mali, West Africa’ in Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies, Vol. 30, August 2020.

Heinrich, D. F., & Penning-Rowsell, E.C. ‘Flood risk management under uncertainty in transboundary basins: a delicate balancing act’ in International Journal of River Basin Management, 1 July 2020.

Jia, P., Wang, T., van Vliet, A. J. H., Skidmore, A.K. & van Aalst, M. ‘Worsening of tree-related public health issues under climate change’ in Nature Plants, Vol. 6, pp. 48, 13 February 2020.

Lee, D., Ahmadul, H., Patz, J., and Block, P. ‘Predicting social and health vulnerability to floods in Bangladesh’ in Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 2020.

Lopez, A., de Perez, E. C., Bazo, J., Suarez, P., van den Hurk, B. and van Aalst, M. ‘Bridging forecast verification and humanitarian decisions: A valuation approach for setting up action-oriented early warnings’ in Weather and Climate Extremes, Vol. 27, March 2020.

Otto, F. E. L., Harrington, L., Schmitt, K., Philip, S., Kew, S., van Oldenborgh, ( . . . ) & Wolski, P. ‘Challenges to Understanding Extreme Weather Changes in Lower Income Countries’ in Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 101, pp. E1851-E1860, 2020.

Philip, S., Kew, S., van Oldenborgh, G. J., Otto, F., Vautard, R., van der Wiel, K., ( . . . ) & van Aalst, M. ‘A protocol for probabilistic extreme event attribution analyses’ in Advances in Statistical Climatology, Meteorology and Oceanography, Vol. 6, pp. 177–203, 2020.

Towner, J., Cloke, H. L., Lavado, W., Santini, W., Bazo, J., de Perez, E. C., & Stephens, E. M. ‘Attribution of Amazon floods to modes of climate variability: A review’ in Meteorological Applications, Vol. 27, 18 October 2020.

Vautard, R., van Aalst, M., Boucher, O., Drouin, A., Haustein, K., Kreienkamp, F., ( . . . ) & Wehner, M. ‘Human contribution to the record-breaking June and July 2019 heatwaves in Western Europe’ in Environmental Research Letters, Vol. 15, 2020.

van Oldenborgh, G. J., Krikken, F., Lewis, S., Leach, N. J., Lehner, F., Saunders, K. R., ( . . . ) & Otto, L. ‘Attribution of the Australian bushfire risk to anthropogenic climate change’ in Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, Vol. 21, pp. 941–960, 2020.

Zommers, Z., Marbaix, P., Fischlin, A., Ibrahim, Z. Z., Grant, S., Magnan, ( . . . ) & Hulbert, M. ‘Burning embers: towards more transparent and robust climate-change risk assessments’ in Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, Vol. 1, pp. 516-529, 10 September 2020.

Book Chapters

Curl, M., Rudram, B., Suarez, P.  Y-Adapt: Inspire Youth To Adapt To The Changing Climate, pp. 160-174 in, Bonati, S. & Tononi, M. (eds). Cambiamento climatico e rischio. Proposta per una didattica geografica. Malin: FrancoAngeli, 20 May 2020.

Perdinan, Arini, E. Y., Adi, R. F., Siregar, R., Clatworthy. Y., Nurhayati, Dewi, N. W. S. P. Meteorological Services for Forecast Based Early Actions in Indonesia in, Leal Filho W. & Jacob D. (eds). Handbook of Climate Services. Basal: Springer, 2020.

Guidance documents, manuals, or similar

Adams, K. M., Klein, R. J .T., Pulquério, M., Bachofen, C., Barrott, J., Bentz, J., ( . . . ) & Walton, P. Adapting to extremes: Key insights for bridging climate change adaptation and disaster risk reduction in the European Green Deal, Placard project, May 2020

Arrighi, J., Singh, R., Khan, R., Koelle, B., Jjemba, E., City Heatwave Guide for Red Cross Red Crescent Branches. Paper presented to the Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre (RCCC), 2020

Dupar, M., Wilkinson, E., Arvis, B. & Mendler de Suarez, J. Strengthening forecast-based early action in the Caribbean, 2019

Freebairn, A., Hagon, K., Turmine, V., Pizzini, G., Singh, S., Kelly, T., ( . . . ) & Fisher, D. Come heat or high wate: World Disasters Report 2020, 2020.

Freebairn, A., Turmine, V. & Singh, R. Box 3.3: Engaging youth to bring climate action to scale, pp. 144 in, Come heat or high wate: World Disasters Report 2020, 2020.

Harrowsmith, M., Nielsen, M., Jaime, C., Coughlan de Perez, E., Uprety, M., van den Homberg, M., Tijssen, A., Page, E., Lux, S. & Comment, T. The future of forecasts: Impact-based forecasting for early action, 2020

Heinrich, D. & Bailey, M. Forecast-based financing and early action for drought. Paper presented to the Red Cross Red Crescent, May 2020.

Norton, R., Venkateswaran, K., Vaughan, A., McQuistan, C., Bachofen, C. & Hagon, K. Building back better: Ensuring COVID-19 response and recovery builds long-term. Paper presented to the Zurich Flood Resilience Alliance, September 2020.

Sengupta, S. & Costella, C. Linking social protection and forecast-based action: A summary of lessons and knowledge gaps from SHEAR. 17 December 2020

Shumake-Guillemot, J., Amir, S., Anwar, N, Arrighi, J., Böse-O’Reilly, S., Brearley, M., ( . . . ) & Zaitchik, B. Protecting health from hot weather during the COVID-19 pandemic, 27 May 2020.

Thalheimer, L., Jjemba, E. W & Simperingham, E. Forecast-based financing and disaster displacement: Acting early to reduce the humanitarian impacts of displacement, August 2020.

Walton, D. & van Aalst, M. Climate-related extreme weather events and COVID-19. Paper presented to the International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent (IFRC) & Red Cross and Red Crescent Climate Centre (RCCC), September 2020