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  Anticipatory action

The Climate Centre focuses on anticipatory action through forecast-based financing (FbF) and impact-based forecasting (IBF). FbF releases pre-arranged funding automatically when forecasts indicate risk, enabling early humanitarian action. IBF translates weather forecasts into expected impacts on people and locations. The organisation supports global programmes, research, training, and partnerships to improve early action, reduce risks, and scale systems, including links with social protection.

Programme manager

Irene Amuron

Irene Amuron

Head of Anticipatory Action

Irene leads the Anticipatory Action team and is the focal person for learning, innovation and exchange at the Anticipation Hub. She is a technical expert in the field of disaster risk management, whose expertise includes specialist support to National Societies and partners on anticipatory action and is currently pursuing her PhD at the University of Twente. 

Team members

Agustinho Dos Reis De Fatima 

Agustinho Dos Reis De Fatima 

Agustinho is a technical adviser for Green Climate Fund Timor-Leste Early Warning System Project providing technical support and coordination on Forecast-based Financing. He has background in Disaster Risk Resilience & Environment, and he is passionate about facilitating building resilience as part of community-based DRR and climate change adaptation initiatives.

Emmanuel Poan

Emmanuel Poan

Dazangwende Emmanuel is a climate and weather scientist. He has developed a solid expertise in climate modeling and analysis, Early Warning Systems and more recently anticipatory action. He also has experience working with national meteorological and hydrological services and engaging them on humanitarian work.  

Kiswendsida Guigma

Kiswendsida Guigma

Kiswendsida Guigma is a climate scientist with expertise in climate risk, anticipatory action and the climate and conflict nexus in addition to a profound research interest in heat waves. Our focal point for West Africa and the Sahel, he also has experience working with national meteorological and hydrological services.  

Erin Coughlan de Perez

Erin Coughlan de Perez

Erin oversees our work on climate science for risk management. She leads support to forecast-based financing initiatives around the world, developing triggers for early action before disasters happen. Erin also leads operational science research on forecast verification and application.

Ahmadul Hassan

Ahmadul Hassan

Hassan is the technical adviser for forecast-based financing in Bangladesh and support similar projects across South Asia. He is a widely published expert in the fields of water-resource planning, early warning, disaster management, climate change, vulnerability assessment, and resource modelling.

Andrew Kruczkiewicz

Andrew Kruczkiewicz

Andrew joined the Climate Centre as a technical adviser in 2014 and specializes in climate risk management. He is also a staff research associate and lecturer at the International Research Institute for Climate and Society at Columbia University, focusing on remote sensing and early warning.

Dorothy Heinrich

Dorothy Heinrich

Dorothy is a technical adviser with expertise in the operability of climate and weather information for humanitarian decision-making. She works closely with National Societies on the design of early warning and anticipatory action. She is currently doing her PhD in meteorology part-time at the University of Reading in the UK.

Juan Bazo

Juan Bazo

Juan is a climate scientist with many years’ experience in implementing climate change adaptation, climate risk and anticipatory action programmes in Latin America. With a PhD in climate science and experience with national meteorological and hydrological departments, he brings valuable expertise to our dialogues within the humanitarian sector.

Madhab Uprety

Madhab Uprety

Madhab is a Technical Adviser and Asia-Pacific focal point. He has extensive experience working on risk reduction, early warning systems and resilience building for climate-related disasters in the developing world.

Mary Anne Zeilstra

Mary Anne Zeilstra

Mary Anne supports managing and coordinating our anticipatory action program with over 25 projects. She is also our security focal point. She has an academic and work background in international development, diplomacy, labor migration, and social policies. She completed her master’s at the University of Amsterdam.